Conf = MAC Commonwealth State = PA
Nickname = Spartans Coach = Jennifer MustonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.4669189 home-field advantage = -0.60 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 228 H Franklin & Marshall Centennial (20- 4, 95.1) 10-14 302 A William Smith Liberty Leagu (20- 4, 94.5) 10-11 306 A Haverford Centennial (12- 7, 89.9) 9- 7 309 A Stevens MAC Freedom (17- 3, 91.8) 7- 9 316 H Washington College Centennial (12- 7, 89.0) 16-11 320 H Gettysburg Centennial (17- 4, 94.5) 12-18 323 H Washington & Lee Old Dominion (19- 4, 94.6) 7- 9 327 H Christopher Newport Coast to Coas (14- 7, 91.4) 15-10 330 A Salisbury Coast to Coas (18- 4, 95.9) 6- 9 406 A Albright MAC Commonwea ( 2-15, 71.7) 17- 3 407 A Mary Washington Coast to Coas ( 5-13, 87.4) 13- 6 410 H Alvernia MAC Commonwea ( 6-11, 75.1) 20- 6 413 A Eastern MAC Commonwea ( 2-13, 63.9) 19- 0 417 A Stevenson MAC Commonwea (12- 7, 87.9) 15- 5 420 H Widener MAC Commonwea ( 8-10, 83.4) 16- 4 424 H Hood MAC Commonwea ( 7-10, 78.8) 21- 9 427 A Messiah MAC Commonwea ( 8-10, 87.6) 14- 6 501 H Widener MAC Commonwea ( 8-10, 83.4) 18- 5 504 H Stevenson MAC Commonwea (12- 7, 87.9) 8- 7 511 N Johnson & Wales Great Northea (14- 5, 79.6) 17- 3 512 A Wesleyan NESCAC (16- 4, 97.0) 6-16
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Franklin & Marshall 10-14 -4 -2 -1.93 302 A William Smith 10-11 -1 -2 1.66 306 A Haverford 9- 7 2 1 0.08 309 A Stevens 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.12 316 H Washington College 16-11 5 4 0.91 320 H Gettysburg 12-18 -6 -1 -- -4.54 323 H Washington & Lee 7- 9 -2 -1 -0.47 327 H Christopher Newport 15-10 5 1 + 3.36 330 A Salisbury 6- 9 -3 -4 1.06 406 A Albright 17- 3 14 20 0.00 407 A Mary Washington 13- 6 7 4 + 2.51 410 H Alvernia 20- 6 14 17 0.00 413 A Eastern 19- 0 19 27 0.00 417 A Stevenson 15- 5 10 3 + 3.02 420 H Widener 16- 4 12 9 0.00 424 H Hood 21- 9 12 14 0.00 427 A Messiah 14- 6 8 4 + 2.69 501 H Widener 18- 5 13 9 0.00 504 H Stevenson 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.17 511 N Johnson & Wales 17- 3 14 12 0.00 512 A Wesleyan 6-16 -10 -5 -1.92UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 H Gettysburg 12-18 -6 -1 -- -4.54 504 H Stevenson 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.17 309 A Stevens 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.12OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H Christopher Newport 15-10 5 1 + 3.36 407 A Mary Washington 13- 6 7 4 + 2.51 417 A Stevenson 15- 5 10 3 + 3.02 427 A Messiah 14- 6 8 4 + 2.69
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 92.47 Power Rank................. 13 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 71.21 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 22 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7330 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 13 RPI Rating............... .6151 RPI Rank................... 32 Champ. Probability ...... 1.5 Championship Rank ......... 13 Selection sum ........... 83 Selection Rank ............ 25 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 10. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 20 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 0. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 38 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 14.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 14.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 14.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7